Spotlight: Longest U.S. gov't shutdown inflicts worse economic damage than expected
                 Source: Xinhua | 2019-01-24 00:50:52 | Editor: huaxia

Photo taken on Jan. 12, 2019 shows the statue of George Washington outside the Federal Hall National Memorial, a tourist attraction which is closed due to partial government shutdown, in New York, the United States, Jan. 12, 2019. (Xinhua/Wang Ying)

NEW YORK, Jan. 22 (Xinhua) -- As the partial government shutdown stretched to the second month, experts and lawmakers warned it would inflict far greater damage on U.S. economy than previously anticipated, and the longer the stalemate lasts, the more widely effects will be felt.

The record-long government shutdown began on Dec. 22 last year, after Congress failed to pass a spending bill that included more than 5 billion U.S. dollars in funding for the border wall long-promised by U.S. President Donald Trump.

The shutdown has affected a quarter of the federal government and forced 800,000 federal workers to miss their paychecks.


SLOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH

Economists said the shutdown has already taken a toll on the country's first quarter GDP, accompanied by broader economic implications.

John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said in a recent speech that he expected the shutdown to take 0.5 to 1 percentage point off the first-quarter growth depending on how long the impasse would last.

Sourabh Gupta, senior fellow at the Institute for China-America Studies, said while direct economic effects are of manageable proportions, people should be aware of the broader economic consequences flowing from the shutdown.

"The largest of these is the damage to economic confidence stemming from the reality of political incompetence displayed by the American political establishment from the president down," said Gupta.

U.S. consumer sentiment in January plunged to the lowest level in more than two years due in part to the longest partial government shutdown.

The preliminary reading of the index of consumer sentiment in January fell to 90.7 from 98.3 in the previous month, to the lowest level since October 2016, according to a survey released by the University of Michigan on Friday.

"The loss was due to a host of issues including the partial government shutdown, the impact of tariffs, instabilities in financial markets, the global slowdown, and the lack of clarity about monetary policies," Richard Curtin, chief economist of the survey, said in a statement.

The index of consumer sentiment is closely watched by economists and analysts as an indicator of future consumer behavior. Sharp declines in confidence could signal weaker consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.

"The extended shutdown will extract a much greater price through the imposition of an 'uncertainty tax' on the economy, fading business and consumer confidence and the disruption of commerce indirectly linked to the basic functioning of government," said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US LLP.


VOLATILE FINANCIAL MARKETS

"The next two years of divided government in Washington D.C. is just a beginning. So markets are going to have to brace for a long period of volatility and incompetence which could easily impact the credit rating of the U.S., as well as the recession-risks arising thereof," said Gupta.

U.S. stock markets finished 2018 with their worst performance in a decade, as investors fretted over fears of a monetary policy mistake by the Fed, increasing trade frictions, the ongoing federal government shutdown, and potential signals of slowing global economic growth.

The Dow and the S&P 500 indexes slid 5.6 percent and 6.2 percent in an annual drop respectively, both notching their biggest annual losses since the 2008 financial crisis. The Nasdaq lost 3.9 percent in 2018, also experiencing its worst year in a decade.

The shutdown has resulted in the omission of about a dozen major data releases so far, including figures related to housing, trade and consumer spending. Investors were worried that even after the government reopens, it would take months for government departments to return to a normal schedule.

Analysts said the policy uncertainties in Washington D.C. was the least thing the market wanted and the data absence added to it.

Meanwhile, the IMF in its most recent report cited the ongoing U.S. government shutdown as a newly introduced perturbation to domestic markets, noting that the shutdown "further weighed on financial sector sentiment toward year-end."


MULTIPLE INDUSTRIES AFFECTED

The shutdown is harming the business community, according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, as the process of initial public offerings is delayed and the review of mergers and acquisitions is suspended, among others.

As the Department of Homeland Security sent many of its workers home, U.S. companies and employers were not able to check the immigration status of their potential hires.

Those who opened the government's E-Verify website were greeted by a red banner on the home page saying "due to the lapse in federal funding, this website will not be actively managed. E-Verify and E-Verify services are unavailable."

For the country's farmers, the loss of crucial loans, payments and other services due to closed local farm service agency offices were cutting off their lifeline. Everything from trade bailout checks to loans for low-income residents in rural areas have all come to a standstill. Many were worried that they won't be able to have enough money for food, let alone farming.

For city dwellers, life during government shutdown has also been tough.

Data showed that as thousands of employees from the Department of Housing and Urban Development were furloughed, more than 1,100 federal housing assistance contracts that expired in December or are set to expire in January were not able to be renewed. That translated into 40,000 households nationwide to be affected.

Meanwhile, there was the serious concern that the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), also known as food stamps, will be cut in March.

According to Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, about 15 million households, which include about 30 million people, could experience a gap between monthly SNAP payments of more than 40 days. More than 4 million low-income households, including 8 million people, could experience a gap of more than 50 days.

In New York, the longest-ever federal government shutdown has already turned into a full-blown crisis where social benefits, transportation and civil cases were all affected.

Starting from March 1 -- if the shutdown still exists by then -- New York City will lose 500 million dollars in federal support every month, which will directly affect 2 million residents, Mayor Bill de Blasio warned.

"This is not a crisis that just hits and then levels off. In fact, it starts to cascade," he said.

Back to Top Close
Xinhuanet

Spotlight: Longest U.S. gov't shutdown inflicts worse economic damage than expected

Source: Xinhua 2019-01-24 00:50:52

Photo taken on Jan. 12, 2019 shows the statue of George Washington outside the Federal Hall National Memorial, a tourist attraction which is closed due to partial government shutdown, in New York, the United States, Jan. 12, 2019. (Xinhua/Wang Ying)

NEW YORK, Jan. 22 (Xinhua) -- As the partial government shutdown stretched to the second month, experts and lawmakers warned it would inflict far greater damage on U.S. economy than previously anticipated, and the longer the stalemate lasts, the more widely effects will be felt.

The record-long government shutdown began on Dec. 22 last year, after Congress failed to pass a spending bill that included more than 5 billion U.S. dollars in funding for the border wall long-promised by U.S. President Donald Trump.

The shutdown has affected a quarter of the federal government and forced 800,000 federal workers to miss their paychecks.


SLOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH

Economists said the shutdown has already taken a toll on the country's first quarter GDP, accompanied by broader economic implications.

John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said in a recent speech that he expected the shutdown to take 0.5 to 1 percentage point off the first-quarter growth depending on how long the impasse would last.

Sourabh Gupta, senior fellow at the Institute for China-America Studies, said while direct economic effects are of manageable proportions, people should be aware of the broader economic consequences flowing from the shutdown.

"The largest of these is the damage to economic confidence stemming from the reality of political incompetence displayed by the American political establishment from the president down," said Gupta.

U.S. consumer sentiment in January plunged to the lowest level in more than two years due in part to the longest partial government shutdown.

The preliminary reading of the index of consumer sentiment in January fell to 90.7 from 98.3 in the previous month, to the lowest level since October 2016, according to a survey released by the University of Michigan on Friday.

"The loss was due to a host of issues including the partial government shutdown, the impact of tariffs, instabilities in financial markets, the global slowdown, and the lack of clarity about monetary policies," Richard Curtin, chief economist of the survey, said in a statement.

The index of consumer sentiment is closely watched by economists and analysts as an indicator of future consumer behavior. Sharp declines in confidence could signal weaker consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.

"The extended shutdown will extract a much greater price through the imposition of an 'uncertainty tax' on the economy, fading business and consumer confidence and the disruption of commerce indirectly linked to the basic functioning of government," said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US LLP.


VOLATILE FINANCIAL MARKETS

"The next two years of divided government in Washington D.C. is just a beginning. So markets are going to have to brace for a long period of volatility and incompetence which could easily impact the credit rating of the U.S., as well as the recession-risks arising thereof," said Gupta.

U.S. stock markets finished 2018 with their worst performance in a decade, as investors fretted over fears of a monetary policy mistake by the Fed, increasing trade frictions, the ongoing federal government shutdown, and potential signals of slowing global economic growth.

The Dow and the S&P 500 indexes slid 5.6 percent and 6.2 percent in an annual drop respectively, both notching their biggest annual losses since the 2008 financial crisis. The Nasdaq lost 3.9 percent in 2018, also experiencing its worst year in a decade.

The shutdown has resulted in the omission of about a dozen major data releases so far, including figures related to housing, trade and consumer spending. Investors were worried that even after the government reopens, it would take months for government departments to return to a normal schedule.

Analysts said the policy uncertainties in Washington D.C. was the least thing the market wanted and the data absence added to it.

Meanwhile, the IMF in its most recent report cited the ongoing U.S. government shutdown as a newly introduced perturbation to domestic markets, noting that the shutdown "further weighed on financial sector sentiment toward year-end."


MULTIPLE INDUSTRIES AFFECTED

The shutdown is harming the business community, according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, as the process of initial public offerings is delayed and the review of mergers and acquisitions is suspended, among others.

As the Department of Homeland Security sent many of its workers home, U.S. companies and employers were not able to check the immigration status of their potential hires.

Those who opened the government's E-Verify website were greeted by a red banner on the home page saying "due to the lapse in federal funding, this website will not be actively managed. E-Verify and E-Verify services are unavailable."

For the country's farmers, the loss of crucial loans, payments and other services due to closed local farm service agency offices were cutting off their lifeline. Everything from trade bailout checks to loans for low-income residents in rural areas have all come to a standstill. Many were worried that they won't be able to have enough money for food, let alone farming.

For city dwellers, life during government shutdown has also been tough.

Data showed that as thousands of employees from the Department of Housing and Urban Development were furloughed, more than 1,100 federal housing assistance contracts that expired in December or are set to expire in January were not able to be renewed. That translated into 40,000 households nationwide to be affected.

Meanwhile, there was the serious concern that the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), also known as food stamps, will be cut in March.

According to Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, about 15 million households, which include about 30 million people, could experience a gap between monthly SNAP payments of more than 40 days. More than 4 million low-income households, including 8 million people, could experience a gap of more than 50 days.

In New York, the longest-ever federal government shutdown has already turned into a full-blown crisis where social benefits, transportation and civil cases were all affected.

Starting from March 1 -- if the shutdown still exists by then -- New York City will lose 500 million dollars in federal support every month, which will directly affect 2 million residents, Mayor Bill de Blasio warned.

"This is not a crisis that just hits and then levels off. In fact, it starts to cascade," he said.

010020070750000000000000011100001377689801
大发彩票app下载 乐发ll 乐发Ⅶ 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发lx 乐发彩票官方网站 彩神x 乐发彩票 乐发彩票 凤凰彩票大厅 大发彩票 乐发lv 大发彩票 快3彩票app下载 百姓彩票 乐发lv 乐发ll 乐发 乐发app 凤凰彩票 一分时时彩 乐发Vll 大发乐彩app 乐发彩票官方网站 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发lv 快3推荐平台 快3平台 网信快3 快彩彩票 盈彩网投资平台 彩神x 乐发Ⅲ 乐发app 凤凰彩票大厅 彩神app下载安卓版 快3平台 快3官方正版 快3app下载 极速快3 全民彩票 乐发彩票中心 凤凰快3 凤凰彩票 乐发2 凤凰彩票 网信彩票平台 快盈彩票 乐发彩票 大发彩票app 乐发VI 百姓彩票 凤凰快3 乐发ll 乐发ll 凤凰彩票app下载 盈彩网投资平台 快3app下载 乐发v官网 乐发3彩票APP 乐发III 乐发彩票官方网站 乐发lll welcome彩神 幸运快3 百姓彩票 500大发 乐发ll 乐发ll 凤凰彩票大厅 快3网站 快3平台推荐 凤凰彩票 一分时时彩 快盈彩票 彩神iv 乐发III 大发购彩 乐发lll 彩神购彩平台 幸运快3 快3平台 快3彩票官网平台 盈彩网投资平台 彩神x 凤凰快3 三分快3 乐发 大发welcome 快3平台 百姓彩票 分分快3 快3app下载 凤凰彩票app 乐发彩票ll 凤凰快3 乐发官网 凤凰彩票app 快盈彩票 网信快3 welcome凤凰彩票 大发彩票app 乐发iv首页 乐发app下载 乐发lll 乐发ll 大发彩票 大小单双平台 大发彩票 凤凰快3 乐发网投平台 乐发lv 乐发v官网 凤凰彩票app 快3网赚 快3软件 welcome彩神 幸运快3 大发官网 网信快3 乐发ll 大发500 大发彩票app 凤凰彩票购彩平台 大发彩票 快3平台官网 快3大小平台 快3彩票 分分快3 一分pk10 极速快3 乐发彩票app下载 500快3 大小单双平台 一分快3 网盟彩票 凤凰快3 welcome凤凰彩票 乐发lll 乐发 凤凰彩票大厅 网信彩票 大发官网 大发10分PK10 大发排列3 乐发∨Il 乐发lv 乐发IV 乐发ll下载app 乐发lv 乐发彩票 pk彩票 大发彩票 welcome凤凰彩票 快3官网 乐发 乐发iv首页 大发彩票 快3正规 乐发 大小单双平台 大发彩票 网盟彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发ll下载app 乐发Ⅶ 乐发app 彩神彩票官方网站 大发彩票 快3软件 快3官方 大发官网 网信快3 大发排列3 盈彩网投资平台 快3app 彩神ll平台 百姓彩票 快3大小平台 乐发app 一分pk10 极速快3 大发彩票 乐发彩票中心 凤凰彩票 凤凰彩票 网盟彩票 网信彩票 网信彩票 乐发 乐发登录入口 乐发lll下载 乐发VI 乐发 凤凰快3 乐发lv 乐发ll 大发排列3 快3彩票官网app 乐发彩票 乐发lv 凤凰彩票 快3助手 乐发3彩票APP 彩神xl 乐发彩票官方网站 彩神vl welcome彩神 乐发lx 乐发彩票2 乐发彩票中心 乐发彩票官方网站 乐发ll 快3首页 快3官网 大发彩票 快3彩票 乐发1 幸运快3官网 凤凰快3 彩神彩票官网首页 快彩彩票 快3购彩 快3app 三分快3 网信彩票 乐发app 凤凰快3 大发彩票 乐发网投资平台 彩神vl 凤凰彩票登录 全民彩票 乐发彩票app下载 乐发ll官网 乐发lv 乐发彩票ll 乐发彩票中心 乐发官网 乐发快3平台 凤凰快3 网信彩票 快3app 凤凰快3 乐发登录入口 乐发v平台 乐发1 乐发app下载 凤凰快3 乐发ll 快彩彩票 大小单双平台 乐发彩票 乐发welcome 凤凰快3 快3王者 快3平台app下载 彩神vl welcome彩神 全民彩票 大发官网 乐发app 乐发彩票app下载 乐发官网 彩神彩票 一分时时彩 快3官网 快3安全平台推荐 大发彩票 快3彩票 百姓彩票 一分pk10 彩神彩票 乐发iv 快彩彩票 百姓彩票网站网址 彩神x 快3app 大发彩票 乐发Vll 凤凰快3 乐发彩票官方网站 乐发lll 乐发lll 凤凰彩票大厅 全民彩票 快3平台 凤凰快3 乐发ll官网 乐发lll 乐发Ⅲ 乐发IV 凤凰彩票大厅 彩神xl 百姓彩票 500大发 乐发ll 乐发ll 凤凰彩票大厅 快3网站 快3平台推荐 凤凰彩票 一分时时彩 快盈彩票 彩神iv 乐发III 大发购彩 乐发lll 彩神购彩平台 幸运快3 快3平台 快3彩票官网平台 盈彩网投资平台 彩神x 凤凰快3 三分快3 乐发 大发welcome 快3平台 百姓彩票 分分快3 快3安全平台推荐 凤凰彩票 百姓彩票 一分pk10 乐发ll 大发彩票 凤凰彩票app下载 凤凰彩票 彩神x 网信平台官网 三分快3 乐发III 乐发lll下载 乐发lll 乐发 幸运快3 乐发lv 凤凰快3 乐发lv 大发彩票app 乐发lll 凤凰彩票 快3下载app 快3首页 快3平台 彩神xl 分分快3 彩神vl 乐发lll 彩神1 大发彩票 凤凰彩票官方网站 乐发lv 快3平台推荐 快3代理 快盈彩票 彩神iv welcome凤凰彩票 大发彩票 乐发app 网信快3 幸运快3 1分快3平台 网信快3 快3彩票官网平台 大发app 凤凰快3 三分快3 乐发lv 乐发app 大发彩票app 幸运5分彩快3 极速快3 凤凰彩票app 乐发lll安装 乐发ll 乐发lv 大发彩票app 乐发彩票 pk彩票 大发彩票 welcome凤凰彩票 快3官网 乐发 乐发iv首页 大发彩票 快3正规 乐发 大小单双平台 大发彩票 网盟彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发ll下载app 乐发Ⅶ 乐发app 彩神彩票官方网站 大发彩票 快3软件 快3官方 大发官网 网信快3 大发排列3 盈彩网投资平台 快3app 500彩票中快3 大发彩票 官方正规快3彩票平台 凤凰彩票 快3代理 乐发彩票 乐发 百姓彩票 网信彩票 彩神彩票 网信快3 凤凰彩票app下载 盈彩网投资平台 大发app 乐发iv游戏平台 乐发ll下载app 乐发Vll 乐发app 乐发彩票官方网站 凤凰彩票 乐发lll 极速快3 快3下载 乐发彩票中心 乐发lll安装 彩神彩票 快3赚钱平台推荐 乐发Ⅲ pk彩票 凤凰彩票大厅 百姓彩票 快3平台 乐发VI 乐发 凤凰快3 彩神彩票购彩平台 乐发lll 快3数据分析app 快3官网平台推荐 网盟彩票 凤凰彩票 网信彩票 快盈彩票 乐发3彩票APP 快3在线平台 welcome彩神 快3官方 快3app推荐 大发排列3 盈彩网投资平台 乐发彩票 凤凰快3 乐发彩票 乐发平台 百姓彩票 凤凰彩票官方 快3彩票 乐发app 大发彩票安卓下载 乐发lx 乐发彩票ll 乐发彩票中心 乐发官网 乐发快3平台 凤凰快3 网信彩票 快3app 凤凰快3 乐发登录入口 乐发v平台 乐发1 乐发app下载 凤凰快3 乐发ll 快彩彩票 大小单双平台 乐发彩票 乐发welcome 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发官网 凤凰快3 快3王者 快3平台app下载 彩神vl 大发官网 乐发app 乐发彩票app下载 乐发ll 凤凰快3 大小单双平台 快3官网平台推荐 快3彩票 网信彩票 快盈彩票 凤凰快3 welcome凤凰彩票 凤凰彩票 乐发IV welcome彩神 百姓彩票平台 大发官网 快3app推荐 乐发∨Il 乐发彩票 凤凰快3 凤凰彩票大厅 乐发lv 乐发lv 大发彩票app 快3彩票 彩神 一分pk10 大发彩票安卓下载 乐发lv入口 乐发app 乐发ll 乐发官网 大发彩票app 一分时时彩 pk彩票 凤凰快3 乐发II 乐发lll 快3网址 快3入口 快彩彩票 大小单双平台 彩神x 网盟彩票 乐发IV 乐发Vll 乐发lv 凤凰彩票app下载 彩神xl 快3平台app下载 快3大发 全民彩票 大发官网 凤凰快3 大发排列3 大发app 彩神welcome登录 一分时时彩 一分快3平台 彩神iv 快3安全平台推荐 凤凰彩票 百姓彩票 一分pk10 乐发ll 大发彩票 凤凰彩票app下载 凤凰彩票 彩神x 网信平台官网 三分快3 大发彩票 乐发ll登录 乐发III 乐发lll下载 乐发lll 乐发 幸运快3 乐发lv 大发彩票app 乐发lll 凤凰彩票 快3下载app 快3首页 快3平台